Global
Asian markets rise on Iran ceasefire hopes
Thursday, 16 April 2026 at 04:52 UTC · 1 source
Asian stock markets rose and oil prices steadied on April 16, 2026, amid growing optimism about a potential extension of the ceasefire in the Iran war. The market movements reflect expectations that the United States and Iran are moving toward renewed diplomatic talks. Analysts suggest investors are pricing in reduced geopolitical risk as the Trump administration signals openness to negotiations. The positive sentiment comes despite ongoing tensions in the region and the US naval blockade of Iranian ports.
Sources
Prediction Markets

Polymarket↗
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?Yes
100%
No
0%

Polymarket↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?June 30Y
68%
May 31Y
56%
April 30N
42%
April 22N
25%

Polymarket↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?June 30Y
83%
May 31Y
77%
April 30N
47%
April 21N
24%

Polymarket↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?December 31Y
97%
June 30Y
95%
May 15Y
93%
April 30Y
90%
April 7Y
88%
April 15Y
88%

Polymarket↗
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?April 21N
12%
April 18N
4%
April 15N
1%
Cycle: Thursday, 16 April 2026 at 04:52 UTC · First reported: 18h ago