IranStrait of Hormuz
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains low
Thursday, 16 April 2026 at 13:40 UTC · 2 sources
Maritime traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz remains significantly below normal levels, according to vessel tracking data. Data for April 15 shows only 8 confirmed ship crossings across dry bulk, tanker, and gas carrier segments, with an additional 3 probable but unverifiable crossings. This low volume of traffic is a direct consequence of the ongoing U.S. naval blockade targeting Iran's oil exports, which began on April 13. The blockade has created a high-risk environment in the strategic chokepoint, deterring commercial shipping.
Updates
9h ago@Alphaliner
New data for April 15 shows 8 confirmed and 3 probable ship crossings, providing a specific daily snapshot of the blockade's impact.
Prediction Markets

Polymarket↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes
28%
No
72%

Polymarket↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes
64%
No
37%

Polymarket↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
73%
No
28%

Polymarket↗
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?0-10N
38%
10-20N
21%
60+N
13%
50-60N
8%
20-30N
8%
30-40N
7%
40-50N
7%

Polymarket↗
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?4-7N
43%
8-11N
37%
<4N
9%
12-15N
9%
16-19N
6%
20+N
3%
Cycle: Thursday, 16 April 2026 at 13:40 UTC · First reported: 10h ago