United States
Ex-NATO chief warns alliance could collapse
Wednesday, 15 April 2026 at 09:19 UTC · 1 source
Former NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has issued a stark warning about the alliance's future, stating it is "not set in stone" that NATO will exist in the next ten years. In an interview, he emphasized that the alliance's survival is not a natural law and urged taking seriously President Donald Trump's longstanding threats to withdraw the United States from the pact. Stoltenberg's comments reflect deepening anxiety among Western allies about the durability of the transatlantic security framework under the current U.S. administration.
Sources
Prediction Markets

Polymarket↗
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?December 31N
12%
April 30N
1%

Polymarket↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?Yes
4%
No
96%

Polymarket↗
NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 31N
20%
June 30N
8%

Polymarket↗
Will any country leave NATO by...?December 31, 2026N
11%
June 30, 2026N
5%

Polymarket↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes
20%
No
81%
Cycle: Wednesday, 15 April 2026 at 09:19 UTC · First reported: 7h ago